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Thursday, December 9, 2010

Web 2,000,000.0

The concept of Web 2.0 has been popularized as a new wave of online computer applications that allow the user to leave the confines of a desktop and rely on all kinds of web services instead. This term implies a linear transformation of computing technology. It also implies that the Google era is Web 1.0 and now we are ready for the next step in computing evolution.

But this terms holds an implication that is simply not true. In fact, the tranformation of technology is exponential, not linear. As such, we shouln’t expect a linear progression, but something that looks more like mind-boggling breakthroughs at each transformation. D-Wave recently announced that it would unveil the world’s first quantum computer with a 16 qubit processor capable of 64,000 simultaneous calculations in quantum space(s). See also here.

I don’t think the average person realizes the implications of such a technology. It has been speculated that a quantum computer desktop will have the computing power of all of the computers that exist in the world today. This is like comparing Google to Babbage’s computer.

And the transformation could occur very rapidly. We’re already seeing the weak signals of such transformation. On another front, MIT predicts that optical chips will arrive in 5 years. Photonics will liternally allow computing at the speed of light. The introduction of the Internet to our society resulted in a staggering transformation.

Are you ready for something even more staggering? It’s coming and it’s not Web 3.0. Fasten your seat belts…it’s going to be a wild ride.

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